What Are YOUR Chances of Getting a New Dragon?

Below are the odds of a player who has defeated a boss attaining the defeated boss as his or her own dragon. For each individual win, the value labeled "1 win:" is the only one that decides whether you attain the dragon or not, however, the values here are your odds of having received one over time after having defeated the boss multiple times. So if you're frustrated that you didn't get a dragon after having won against it several times, here's a table that'll show you whether or not all those failed attempts are to be expected.

If I wasn't clear, as some replies have led me to believe, a great way to think about the percentages offered here is what percent of players have attained the dragon by X number of wins.

All values are rounded to the nearest whole percent.
Odds you'll have attained Leshy after:

1 win: 30%
2: 51%
3: 66%
4: 76%
5: 83%
6: 88%
7: 92%
8: 94%
9: 96%
10: 97%
.
.
.
1 in 2 players has attained Leshy by his/her 2nd round.
99+% 12 and after (1 day 0 hours).

Odds you'll have attained Lava after:

1 win: 10%
2: 19%
3: 27%
4: 34%
5: 41%
6: 47%
7: 52%
8: 57%
9: 61%
10: 65%
11: 69%
12: 72%
13: 75%
14: 77%
15: 79%
.
.
.
1 in 2 players has attained Lava by his/her 7th round.
99+% 40 and after (3 days 8 hours).

Odds you'll have attained Crystal after:

1 win: 3%
2: 6%
3: 9%
4: 11%
5: 14%
6: 17%
7: 19%
8: 22%
9: 24%
10: 26%
11: 28%
12: 31%
13: 33%
14: 35%
15: 37%
16: 39%
17: 40%
18: 42%
19: 44%
20: 46%
.
.
.
1 in 2 players has attained Crystal by his/her 23rd round.
99+% 138 and after (11 days 12 hours).

Presuming ([previous boss %] / [roughly 3]) is the formula for odds of attaining the dragon for each win:
Odds you'll have attained Angelo after:

1 win: 1%
2: 2%
3: 3%
4: 4%
5: 5%
6: 6%
7: 7%
8: 8%
9: 9%
10: 10%
11: 10%
12: 11%
13: 12%
14: 13%
15: 14%
16: 15%
17: 16%
18: 17%
19: 17%
20: 18%
21: 19%
22: 20%
23: 21%
24: 21%
25: 22%
.
.
.
1 in 2 players has attained Angelo by his/her 68th round.
99+% 418 and after (34 days 20 hours).

Thank you

Well done.

Thanks. :)

Added number of rounds for 50% and time it would take to get complete the number of rounds for 99+% (times are only estimates, as they only account for the 2 hour cooldown periods and so, if one were to play 24/7, it is essentially impossible to defeat the boss every 2 hours exactly (time to get into the battle and to actually win), so to win that many times is in practice significantly more time-consuming).

i passed the boss level each time with full amount of player,still not got lava,so i think,the chance show in the guide may means that:
each time you pass the level,you have a chance to get the new dragon,and this chance isn't increase with the passed times

i passed the boss level each time with full amount of player,still not got lava,so i think,the chance show in the guide may means that:
each time you pass the level,you have a chance to get the new dragon,and this chance isn't increase with the passed times

The game its self doesn't give you the odds stated above each time. Each win for Leshy, you have a 30% percent chance of getting the dragon. This guide is just a statistical analysis of those chances. It's like flipping a coin. You flip it one time, you have a 50/50 chance of it landing on heads. If you flip it five time, you have much better chance that it landed on heads at least once.




As for my own personal experience, I won on each boss about 6 times before I got Leshy and Lava.

[Edit] I made some polls in off topic to see what actual players experiences are with getting dragons. One for Leshy, for Lava, and for Crystal. Please vote today!

Hey Arthy, are you sure that the results are cumulative. Because it is quite possible that they are like the haypi kingdom enhancement chances on enhance level 13 to 14 are 34% and in this case its each time not after 3 tries it goes to 102% or an almost certain success. BTW I've done this enhance 7 times to no avail, which is why I used it.

Feel free to chime in support as too which way the chances are measured.

As I try to make clear in my first paragraph, these are NOT the odds of attaining the dragon on a specific win. These are the odds that you WILL HAVE attained the dragon by your first X tries.

A great way to look at these numbers is, "what percent of players have attained the dragon by this number of wins."

This is the official chances or just your calculations? It's just weird that I win boss3 more than 50 times but never get dragon Crystal. And I am really pissed off.

This is the official chances or just your calculations? It's just weird that I win boss3 more than 50 times but never get dragon Crystal. And I am really pissed off.

Again, please read the top of my original post. These are calculated odds that you'll have the dragon after a specific number of wins. There is never any guarantee of attaining the dragon; a good way to look at this guide is, what percentage of players have statistically attained the dragon after a certain number of wins.

For your personal concern, I have seen many attain Crystal after far more than 50 tries. There is a clear contrast in results: I received Crystal's egg upon winning 3-30 for the first time, while the top player on Server 1 had to defeat Crystal 99 times to finally get the dragon.

While it's nice to get Crystal, in my and many others' opinions, it is one of the least powerful dragons, and in my experience, pursuing Leshy, Lava, or even Roco will ultimately give you more success.

Good luck! :)
Ary