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*Supporting Large Armies*

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nIcKrOx

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Post Wed Jun 29, 2011 3:37 am

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

SkyDreamer wrote:.11% change still means that it's (approximately) 1/950 which are pretty bad odds anyhow


Still better odds than winning the lottery ;)

But yeah, it's somewhere so low that the people who end up making lvl 10 oasis are not trying to in the first place :P
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Taem96

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Post Mon Jul 04, 2011 5:38 pm

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

SkyDreamer wrote:I heard it's a 0.11% change that an oasis resigned will be level 10 but it's not verified

I incorrectly posted 0.11% in my lv10 oasis guide somewhere on these forums, but actually, vayneglory pointed out it's actually 0.011% chance, which actually makes more sense, considering I've been trying to make these dang oases for over a year now with 0 success...
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SkyDreamer

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Post Tue Jul 05, 2011 6:35 pm

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

I was actually referring to Yodac because that's where I first heard the %. He said he was fairly confident in the number.
As well tatsujink once got 2 level 10 oasis with his alliance out of 1 thousand maybe? I forget what the odds were but 0.011% doesn't seem right
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Nathan05

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Post Tue Jul 05, 2011 8:31 pm

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

SkyDreamer wrote:I was actually referring to Yodac because that's where I first heard the %. He said he was fairly confident in the number.
As well tatsujink once got 2 level 10 oasis with his alliance out of 1 thousand maybe? I forget what the odds were but 0.011% doesn't seem right



not a large enough sampl i have already said this... if it was to be done by maybe 5000 oases then we could be confident in the results...
how do you let people know if your hot cakes are selling well?

Nathan05
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Taem96

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Post Tue Jul 05, 2011 10:50 pm

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

SkyDreamer wrote:I was actually referring to Yodac because that's where I first heard the %. He said he was fairly confident in the number.
As well tatsujink once got 2 level 10 oasis with his alliance out of 1 thousand maybe? I forget what the odds were but 0.011% doesn't seem right


Well it is highly likely that yodac was quoting me as we have had several discussions on the matter, and i am pretty sure thats why he was convinced on the 0.11%, and I am also confident that tatsujink will also back my opinion as he knows my level of dedication to these types of details.

However, the only thing keeping me from agreeing with Nate is the fact that vayne said it and he had a clear insight on the developers formulae as back in the day they used to actually tell him stuff like this....but it is true, Nate....we woud definitely need a large sample size to truly know for sure.
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nIcKrOx

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Post Wed Jul 06, 2011 1:03 am

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

The problem with large oasis samples is that people end up taking the same one twice, making that test null and void... :|
\-Haypi Kingdom-/
Server102-King
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May his noodly appendages keep us from floating up to the sky.
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Nathan05

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Post Wed Jul 06, 2011 12:12 pm

Re: *Supporting Large Armies*

well i have always stuck to it being a 0.011 chance as stated by vayne other wise considering the amount of players they would be popping up very regularly
how do you let people know if your hot cakes are selling well?

Nathan05
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